San Diego Unified Provides Updated Graduation Prediction

Last month, a study conducted by the University of California, San Diego predicted a significant drop in San Diego Unified's graduation rate for the 2015-2016 school year. As examined in this blog, these concerning figures stemmed from the district's recent policy of requiring all students to take and complete the rigorous A-G college preparatory curriculum.

During last night's board meeting, however, San Diego Unified released its own rebuttal to these reports--claiming instead that their internal data predicts a record high graduation rate of 92%. This rate reaches significantly higher than the predicted 72% from the UCSD study and slightly higher than the previous years rate of 89.7%. Why the drastic discrepancy in predictions? According to SDUSD officials cited in this morning's San Diego Union Tribune, the UCSD study was flawed in that it relied on data taken last year during the class of 2016's junior year and failed to account for the interventions administered this school year. District officials are confident that their figures are accurate and that the 

Below are the articles from KPBS and the San Diego UT highlighting today's reports.

San Diego Unified High School Graduation Rates Higher Than Expected

SD Unified predicts record graduation rate

With such polarized predictions, one thing remains certain: only time will tell the final graduation rate for the class of 2016.